Russia & Former Soviet Union

Sanctions, estimated Ukrainian losses and Russia’s nuclear arsenal: Key takeaways from Putin’s Valdai speech

The Russian leader spoke on a variety of topics during the session with international experts in Sochi

Russian President Vladimir Putin at the Valdai Discussion Club, Sochi, Russia, October 5, 2023. ©  Grigory Sysoyev / Sputnik

Russian President Vladimir Putin attended a session of the Valdai Discussion Club in Sochi on Thursday, where he delivered a keynote speech and took questions from the audience. 

During the event, which lasted for nearly four hours, Putin shared his thoughts on a wide array of issues, including the Ukraine conflict, the recent flare-up in Nagorno-Karabakh, and the role of the West in the origins of current tensions.

Putin also outlined his vision for a more fair and equitable model of international relations, and provided an update on Russia’s nuclear arsenal.

West ‘pillaging’ the world

Western countries have accumulated their riches and influence through centuries of “endless expansion,” colonialism, and economic exploitation, Putin claimed. 

He argued that the model, built on subjugation and blatant disregard of other nations’ legitimate interests, is the source of contemporary tensions and will “inevitably lead us into a dead end.” 

Outlook for ‘new world order’ 

Putin outlined six principles of international relations Russia wants to see as the foundation of a “more equitable world order.” These include the rejection of “artificial barriers” between countries and opposition to a single power dictating its will.

“Nobody has the right to control the world at the expense of others or in their name,” Putin said. 

Russia not seeking ‘new territories’

According to Putin, Russia is focused on protecting the people of Donbass and Crimea in the conflict with Ukraine, rather than “looking for new territories.” He reiterated that the current crisis was triggered by the 2014 Western-backed coup in Kiev, which empowered Ukrainian nationalists and was rejected in Crimea. The largely Russian-speaking peninsula voted to break away from Ukraine and join Russia the same year, while the Donbass regions of Donetsk and Lugansk declared independence from Kiev. 

The two Donbass republics, along with Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, eventually became part of Russia after holding referendums in September 2022.

Ukraine’s staggering battlefield losses

The Russian leader said that Moscow estimates that more than 90,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed or seriously wounded during the “so-called counteroffensive,” which was launched in early June. Kiev’s forces also lost 557 tanks and roughly 1,900 armored vehicles, he claimed.

The Ukrainian authorities do not release their total casualty figures, and neither does Russia.

Moscow ‘overcame’ sanctions 

Russia has successfully reshaped its economy towards self-sufficiency and new markets since the EU and US first imposed restrictions on Moscow in 2014. 

“We overcame all problems, which arose from the sanctions, and started the next stage of development,” Putin said. 

Nagorno-Karabakh clash was ‘inevitable’ 

The president dismissed accusations that Moscow abandoned its ally Armenia when Azerbaijan re-established control over its breakaway ethnic Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh last month. Baku’s victory and the disbandment of the local military force triggered a mass exodus of the Armenian population from the region.

According to Putin, Russia did everything it could to mediate the conflict and had offered Yerevan a compromise regarding Nagorno-Karabakh. He argued that an armed clash was “inevitable” after Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan officially recognized the enclave as Azerbaijani territory. 

Russia might be forced to ditch major nuclear pact

Work on the Sarmat silo-based intercontinental ballistic missile has “effectively been completed,” the president said. He also revealed that Moscow had also successfully tested the Burevestnik nuclear-powered cruise missile.

Putin warned that Russia might consider revoking its ratification of the 1996 Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) because it has still not been ratified by the US. The president did not rule out “mirrored responses” to Washington’s policies on the issue.

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